I just can’t help but think, that despite all the will in the world, the European Union might be nearing defeat on the Lisbon Treaty, just as it did with the Constitutional Treaty. Two things have prompted me to come to this opinion: the state of Europe’s economy, and yesterday’s decision by the Czech lower house of parliament to postpone its vote on Lisbon until the 17th of this month.
As well as the growing strength of more extreme forms of politics, as I mentioned the other day, I think that the economic woes we all currently face across Europe cause states to reconsider how strongly they value their sovereignty. The European project relies on the pooling of sovereignty for common benefit of member states. Without this, we may as well scale European integration back to the cosy intergovernmental confines of the European Free Trade Association and the Council of Europe. But naturally, pooling of sovereignty means that a number of decisions, primarily economic, are taken from the hands of national leaders, and placed in Brussel, Strasbourg and Frankfurt. When people are easily manipulated by the far-right, and member states’ governments seek an ‘anything which could save us’ approach, as many are trying to do now, distancing of decision making, in what are perceived to be the hands of foreigners, just won’t wash with a lot of the electorate.
I personally hope that something of Lisbon’s ilk, eventually passes. But I can’t see Lisbon itself being ratified. The EU should start afresh and (I shudder as I borrow a term from the Scottish National Party here) promote an ‘international conversation’ on how to proceed with the European project. Not a debate solely between national governments and policy wonks, but a debate which includes all European citizens. Discussing the facts of the matter, without recourse to plainly domestic affairs (sending messages on the popularity of the present government, and similar), or scare-mongering as was seen in the Irish referendum.
The only way forward for Europe, which will ensure a sustainable future for integration and strong partnership between member states, is for European citizens to wake up, and realise what Europe is, and what it means. What benefits it brings, and how it needs to be improved.